22 September 2023, Friday| Vol 4, No.198
ECP announced tentative dates for the elections to be last week of January 2024
21 September 2023, Thursday| Vol 4, No.197
20 September 2023, Wednesday| Vol 4, No.196
19 September 2023, Tuesday| Vol 4, No.195
Pakistan rejects claims of selling arms to Ukraine for IMF bailout
31 May 2023, Wednesday I Vol 4, No.108
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30 May 2023, Tuesday I Vol 4, No.107
Femy Francis
This is a new section looking at the ongoing political crisis in Pakistan, starting with the arrest of Imran Khan, subsequent violence on 9 May by PTI cadres targeting the Establishment, relief to Imran by the judiciary, response by the government and the Establishment, and the exodus within the PTI. This section provides a daily brief on the political crisis.
On 29 May, Dawn reported that PTI leader Asad Umar appealed for protective bail for two weeks from the Islamabad High Court. He petitioned that he was a law-abiding citizen stressing that he had not been involved in the alleged offense. He also stated that PTI members leaving the party have no effect on their vote share. Stating that the votes belong to Imran Khan and said: “Whether the rest stay or leave doesn’t have any effect on the vote bank.”
Kaneez Fatima was the latest leader to quit the PTI. She refused to state her reason for her resignation while commenting that attacking any property did not suit any political party. She said: “I don’t want to do politics.” Aslam Khan, former MNA, also issued his resignation from PTI and publicly dissociated from the party. He said: “Considering the situations that have arisen, I announce my disassociation with the PTI but will keep working for my country.”
On the other hand, Jamshid Dasti pledged his allegiance to the party and said: “Even the question of leaving the party does not arise. Those who are leaving the party, some are compelled to [while] some are businessmen.”
On 29 May, Imran Khan's presence was demanded on 30 May by the Joint Investigation team over the probe against the attack on Jinnah House.
Government responses
On 29 May, Mohsin Naqvi, Punjab’s Chief Minister, refuted Imran Khan’s allegation against the mistreatment of PTI women activists detained in Prison. Mohsin stressed that the accused were treated in accordance with the law and blamed the party for spreading unnecessary “propaganda.” He further condemned the unfortunate incident of 9 May and demanded accountability.
Lahore SSP Anoosh Masood, after investigation found that there was no sign of mistreatment of the detained members. He stressed that he met the accused individually and that a medical officer was always present at the premises.
On 29 May, Marriyum Aurangazeb, Information Minister, denied Imran’s allegation that PTI member Malik Shzad was pressured to leave. Imran Khan said: “All PTI ticket holders and aspirants today are facing this facism, our fundamental rights are being openly violated while our judiciary helplessly watches on.”
Lahore Anti-Terrorism Court ordered PTI Senator Ejaz Chaudhry and Yashmin Rashid to 14-day Judicial remand. The investigative officer demanded the extension of his remand, stating that he was suspected for attacking the Lahore Askari Tower and that a case was registered against him in Gulberg police station.
Other Institutions/ Developments
On 29 May, General Syed Asim Munir COAS addressed the gathering of Quetta College commenting on the current situation of Pakistan said: “Those who are making futile efforts to drive a wedge and weaken the unbreakable bond between the people of Pakistan and its Armed Forces will never be able to succeed.” and that: “Nexus between the internal collusive elements and external forces to create instability has amply been exposed.”
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29 May 2023, Monday I Vol 4, No.106
Varsha K
This is a new section looking at the ongoing political crisis in Pakistan, starting with the arrest of Imran Khan, subsequent violence on 9 May by PTI cadres targeting the Establishment, relief to Imran by the judiciary, response by the government and the Establishment, and the exodus within the PTI. This section provides a daily brief on the political crisis.
On 27 May, following several desertions from PTI, Sindh’s former governor Imran Ismail, its President Ali Zaidi, MNA Shaukat Ali and former federal minister Khusro Bkahtiar, who quit PTI, stated that they have a “difference of opinion” and have to look after the family business. Former provincial lawmakers Malik Khurram Ali Khan, Dr Nadia Aziz, Aghaz Ikramullah Gandapur, and Tariq Mehmoodul Hassan (a PTI leader based in London) were also among them who iterated that they could not “tolerate attacks on army installations.” Responding to the defections, Imran Khan remarked that the party leaders resign because they have been pressurised or exposed.
On 27 May, after the government rejection of Imran Khan’s 25 May “offer” of open dialogue with the federal government, PTI formed a seven-member “negotiation committee” with no explanation of who the committee negotiates with. The committee consisted of Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Pervez Khattak, Asad Qaiser, Haleem Adil Sheikh, Aon Abbas Buppi, Murad Saeed and Hammad Azhar. It was formed to talk and find a solution to put the country on the path of progress. Raoof Hasan has been selected as PTI’s new information secretary, and he expressed that he would try to redefine the party’s relations with the media and its functionaries across the board.
On 28 May, Imran Khan responded to Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah's allegations through a video link from his Zaman Park residence in Lahore. He said: “He is so obviously trying to cover up and pre-empt the horror stories about to break in the media.” He accused the PDM government and the Punjab caretaker government of “maltreating and depoliticizing women”, and he added: “Never ever in Pakistan, women have been maltreated as the PDM and Punjab’s caretaker governments doing.”
He claimed that the government is “pressuring” party leaders to quit and it may continue to do in the “next two, three or even four weeks.” He demanded the government for the provision of a timeframe and declaration for elections for “the sake of the country.” Further, Imran asked SC to ensure that only the “guilty should be punished” and asked for a high-level inquiry, especially for women activists who were detained.
Responses from Government
On 27 May, Information Minister Marriyum Aurangzeb and PML-N supreme leader Nawaz Sharif rejected Imran’s May 25 “Offer” and added that talks could only be held with political forces, not ‘saboteurs or terrorists. Further, PPP central Punjab general secretary Hasan Murtaza declared that it would examine whether resigned PTI leaders align with PPP’s ideology before enrolling them in the party and reiterated: “We won’t accept anyone who has previously advocated attacking institutions of the state.”
On 28 May, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar also denied that negotiations can’t be held with PTI until Imran Khan takes responsible and apologies for the 9 May violence. Dar added: “You also go through this process. If you are a leader, you should at least do this. Otherwise, this is fascism.” Further, Sanaullah called Imran a shameless man for denouncing the riots and alleged that he never talked like a politician.
On 28 May, the Government has cancelled diplomatic passports for PTI members - Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Asad Umar, Pervez Khattak, Azam Swati, Ali Amin Gandapur, Ali Muhammad Khan, Zartaj Gul, Farrukh Habib and Aon Abbas Bappi including Awami Muslim League (AML) Chief Sheikh Rashid Ahmed as they have not left the PTI.
Other Institutions and Developments
On 28 May, Sheila Jackson Lee, a United States Representative, expressed her concern for the “multiple arrests” of the former prime minister. She iterated that Pakistani should have the right to “a free, safe and unfettered protest.” Further, she assured that she will address this to President Biden and Anthony Blinken, Secretary of State to end the human rights violations and she added: “To ensure that we continue to promote the US and Pakistani relationship and a democratic Pakistan.”
Meanwhile, an anti-corruption observer (media), was concerned with the political and social unrest in Pakistan. Therefore, it requested UK’s National Crime Agency (NCA) to release a public statement about property tycoon Malik Riaz Hussain (2019) and said: “It is our view that the NCA should never allow itself to be influenced by a foreign state in how it concludes its investigations in this way again.”
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27 May 2023, Saturday I Vol 4, No.105
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26 May 2023, Friday I Vol 4, No.104
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25 May 2023, Thursday I Vol 4, No.103
Femy Francis
This is a new section looking at the ongoing political crisis in Pakistan, starting with the arrest of Imran Khan, subsequent violence on 9 May by PTI cadres targeting the Establishment, relief to Imran by the judiciary, response by the government and the Establishment, and the exodus within the PTI. This section provides a daily brief on the political crisis.
On 24 May, In a massive blow to the PTI leadership, Fawad Chaudhry announced his resignation from the party. Condemning the 9 May violence, he said: “ I have decided to take a break from politics, therefore, I have resigned from party position and parting ways from Imran Khan.”
Another leader - Asad Umar also left the PTI stating the 9 May events and stressing the release of innocent PTI workers. Besides the above two, Muhammad Saleem also quit the PTI, expressing that he has no role to play in politics and that he was unaware of the 9 May violence.
Another PTI leader Usman Khan was reported to have joined PPP. He said: “We are just returning home.”
Imran Khan expressed that the leaders of his party are quitting out of pressure as they are being targeted by state institutions. He said: “Here is only one way out, that they utter the magic words of ‘I am leaving PTI’ … is this a joke?” He expressed that the party supporters are being treated as foreign enemies and prisoners of war with no rights. He further reassured that the oppression will not eliminate the party but increase its popularity. Imran Khan plans to form a committee as expressed that he is ready to talk to anyone in power and find a solution to the chaos.
Response from Government
Defence Minister Khawaja Asif, on the 9 May violence stated that the vandalism on the military establishment was a planned and coordinated attack. He said: “I feel that his struggle of a year … all his plans failed and this was his last move against the armed forces.” Additionally, he expressed that the government is discussing banning the PTI party over the riots. PTI challenged the foundation of the state by attacking the defence installations, said Asif.
On 24 May, Lahore police sought a travel ban for 700 PTI leaders from the Federal Investigation Agency. The police want to restrict foreign travel for the listed PTI leaders for one month. The authorities have found 741 PTI leaders as part of the 9 May violence and requested Provisional National Identification List (PNIL) to include the names.
Additionally, Islamabad Police also requested the Interior Minister to issue a travel ban against five PTI members, stating their concerns of the accused might flee the country to avoid arrest and trial.
Other Institutions/ Developments
On 24 May, US Department spokesperson Mathew Miller stated that Pakistan needs to respect the democratic principles and said: “We call for the respect and equal application of democratic principles, freedom of expression around – and rule of law around the world, and of course, in Pakistan, we urge that these principles be respected for all people.”
On 24 May UN Human Rights chief Volker Turk voiced concerns over the usage of military courts for civilian trials as disturbing. He said: “I call on the authorities to ensure prompt, impartial, transparent investigations into deaths and injuries that occurred during the May 9 protests. The only path to a safe, secure, prosperous Pakistan is one that is paved with respect for human rights, democratic processes, and the rule of law, with the meaningful and free participation of all sectors of society.”
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24 May 2023, Wednesday I Vol 4, No.102
Femy Francis
This is a new section looking at the ongoing political crisis in Pakistan, starting with the arrest of Imran Khan, subsequent violence on 9 May by PTI cadres targeting the Establishment, relief to Imran by the judiciary, response by the government and the Establishment, and the exodus within the PTI. This section provides a daily brief on the political crisis.
On 23 May, Shireen Mazari resigned from the PTI after being rearrested by the Punjab Police. She said: “I strongly condemn the May 9 violence. I have always condemned the violence of any kind,” she added ““I condemn violence against state symbols like the GHQ, parliament and the Supreme Court.”
Abdul Razzaq Kahn Niazi resigned from the PTI stating his support for the army. He said: “We never came into politics with the support of any party. Just work for the public and they will vote for you.” Mian Jalil Sharaqpuri announced his resignation blaming Imran Khan for the 9 May violence he said: “I cannot at all work with Imran Khan or the PTI.” Fayyazul Hassan Chohan, a former provincial minister, quit the PTI after accusing Imran Khan of training his party worker to “move towards military installations.”
Imran Khan condemned the re-arrest of party leaders and the custodial torture endured by them. He iterated his conviction and will: “resist till my last breath.” He accused the government for using police to crush the PTI party and leadership and that it was a gross violation of the constitution.
On 23 May, Musraat Chemma was re-arrested upon his released as he accused the government of being “fascist” and said: “These practices must be stopped immediately; court’s decisions must be respected now.” Additionally, Jamshed Cheema was also reasserted by the Punjab police.
Omar Ayub alleged that the Islamabad police raided his home without any prior warrant issued, where they threatened the staff and his son. PTI also claimed that the police raided the house of party leader Ali Nawaz. PTI leader Hammad Azhar denied involvement of PTI in the 9 May riots stating that the party never planned or instigated the incident.
On 23 May, Imran Khan appeared at the Rawalpindi office of the National Accountability Bureau to be investigated on the Al Qadir Trust Case. The PTI also petitioned against the proposed military trial for the accused 9 May protestors stating that it is a violent and arbitrary crackdown against the party.
Other responses/developments
On 23 May, Amnesty International issued concerns about the disappearance of Imran Riaz Khan, a prominent journalist and PTI supporter. Riaz has been missing since 11 May where he was arrested at the Sialkot airport. Lahore Court demanded that he is produced at court, despite of it there is no knowledge of his whereabouts.
Amnesty International, also issued statements against the trial of the accused 9 May protestors under the Amy Act or special counter-terrorism court. Amnesty issued a statement saying: “Those arrested in connection with the recent protests must have their fair trial rights respected, including the presumption of innocence, and independence and impartiality of the tribunal. "On 23 May, Additionally, Lahore High Court refuted PTI’s plea to be granted with blanket cover for the 132 protestors and set aside the detention of Shireen Mazari.
In Brief
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23 May 2023, Tuesday I Vol 4, No.101
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22 May 2023, Monday I Vol 4, No.100
In Brief
POLITICS
Government to prosecute protesters under anti-terrorism and Army Act
On 21 May, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in a meeting declared that the government will prosecute protesters who attacked the public infrastructure under anti-terrorism laws, while those who vandalized military property will be tried under Army Act. This decision came after criticism from national and international groups. He referred to the attacks as an anti-state act and compared the protesters to the terrorist outfits like Tahreek-i- Taliban Pakistan. Legal proceedings will probe those involved in planning, instigation, sloganeering, and vandalism. The Punjab Caretaker Chief Minister briefed the Prime Minister on the steps taken against the culprits. Additionally, the Prime Minister expressed his desire to turn the Pakistan Kidney and Liver Institute(PKLI) into a world-class health facility but criticized Imran Khan and the former Chief Justice for causing damage to the institution. Defense Minister Khawaja Asif stated that existing military courts would handle the prosecution of the rioters, and the PML-N party expressed frustration at the delay in legal action against the perpetrators. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Army Act only for those who attacked military property: PM,” Dawn, 22 May 2023)
Imran Khan alleges army-backed crackdown against PTI
On 21 May, Imran Khan alleged that the PDM wanted to keep him out of power. He said: "The government is working on plans to bring me and the PTI into conflict with the army.” He claimed that over 10,000 workers had been arrested and his party's senior leadership was in jail and also made clear that there is an 80 per cent chance of him getting arrested on 23 May. The former PM emphasized the need for a robust defense system in Pakistan but denied having any conflict with the army. Imran Khan expressed his fear and said: “My worry now is that they won’t hold the national elections even in October. I fear they will hold the elections when it is clear that PTI will not win.”. He criticized the disregard for judicial decisions and the ongoing crackdown on his party. The PTI and JUI-P demanded a stop to the alleged illegal crackdown, the release of party members, an independent investigation into the 9 May incidents, and the removal of caretaker governments in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. They condemned the victimization of media houses and journalists and criticized Imran Khan's "abduction" by Rangers from the Islamabad High Court. (Mansoor Malik, “Imran sees ‘80 per cent chances’ of his arrest tomorrow,” Dawn, 22 May 2023)
Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif and PML-Q Chief discuss political situation and joint candidates
On 21 May, Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif of PML-N visited PML-Q Chief Chaudhary Shujaat Hussain to discuss the political situation in Pakistan. They talked about joint candidates for upcoming elections in Gujarat and other parts of Punjab. They also discussed administrative matters in Gujrat and sought PML-N's support for potential candidates. Chaudhary Shujaat urged the prime minister to address the culprits of the May 9 riots while seeking the release of innocent people mistakenly arrested. The PML-Q aims for seat adjustments with PML-N in several Punjab constituencies. (Waseem Ashraf Butt, “PM calls on Shujaat in Lahore: PML-N, Q may go for seat adjustment in next election,” Dawn, 22 May 2023)
PML-N Chief Maryam Nawaz endorses military courts for trial of 9 May arsonists
On 20 May, PML-N chief Maryam Nawaz expressed her support for trying the individuals responsible for the 9 May attacks in military courts. She questioned the objection of Imran Khan to the military court. She said: “Why are they objecting to military courts.... see the civilian courts are giving bails and stays to the PTI leaders. How come we trust them (civilian courts). These courts’ orders have become a joke,” Meanwhile, PTI chief Imran Khan stated that the law allowing trials of civilians under military control expired in 2019, and only the Corps Commander House in Lahore was attacked. He warned against pitting PTI against the army. (Zulqurnain Tahir, “Showing distrust of judiciary, Maryam backs military courts.” Dawn, 22 May 2023)
No new military courts for 9 May suspects, trials to be held in existing courts says Defence Minister
On 22 May The Express Tribune reported that Defence Minister Khawaja Asif clarified that no new military courts were being established to try individuals suspected of involvement in the 9 May violence. He stated that the trials would be conducted in the existing military courts and assured that the accused would not be deprived of their fundamental rights. The proposal to conduct trials in military courts has faced criticism from local and international rights organizations. The defence minister emphasized the importance of unity and condemned the attacks on military installations. (“No ‘new’ military courts to try May 9 suspects: Asif,” The Express Tribune, 22 May 2023)
Two senior PTI leaders resign from PTI
On 21 May, Two senior PTI leaders Usman Tarakai and Aftab Hussain Siddiqui, announced their resignation from the party in response to the 9 May violence. Siddiqui stated that he wanted to serve the country as a businessman, therefore he distanced himself from politics. Usman said that he cannot continue with the party and also condemned the act. Previously, many other PTI leaders left the party to which Imran Khan responded by stating: My sympathies go to all those who under pressure have been made to leave the party. And I commend and salute all the senior members who are resisting the extreme pressure to quit the party." Meanwhile, the National Security Committee (NSC) announced May 9 as ‘Black Day’. (“In major blow, two more senior leaders quit PTI,” The Express Tribune, 21 May 2023)
PM Shehbaz Sharif says perpetrators won’t be spared
On 21 May, PM Shehbaz Sharif said that those involved in violent acts against the armed forces would not be exempted in a Lahore meeting on law and order. He said: “The 9th of May was the darkest day in the history of Pakistan when a political party of the country committed anti-state acts of the sort that even the enemy couldn’t think of.” Sharif spoke about previous militant attacks and compared TTP strikes with PTI’s violent acts. Further, he added that cases of civilian attacks will be dealt with by the Anti-Terrorism Act and those of military installations under relevant laws. Shehbaz attended a meeting with PML-Q Chief Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain and his sons, where both agreed to work for the country's development. Meanwhile, the PM was upset about the attack on Pakistan Kidney and Liver Institute (PKLI) as he wanted it to become an identity for Pakistan. (Rameez Khan, “Shehbaz likens PTI to outlawed TTP,” The Express Tribune, 21 May 2023)
Imran Khan concerned about the arrest of his leaders and workers
On 21 May, PTI Chief Imran Khan said that he might be arrested on 23 May. He was upset at the detention of his leaders and 10,000 workers and stated that everything was done to destroy democracy. Further, regarding his assassination attempt, Khan said: “I predicted that a religious fanatic will be sued to kill me like our governor was killed. My life is still in danger.” He alleged that the present government was worried about the PTI winning the elections and their focus was to “crush” his party.(“More than 10,000 workers arrested, claims Imran,” Business Recorder, 22 May 2023)
JUDICIARY
Personal Data Protection Bill, 2023 approved to protect individual data privacy
On 22 May, Business Recorder reported that the Ministry of Information, Technology and Telecommunication approved the “Personal Data Protection Bill, 2023.” This Bill proposes a fine which may extend to USD 2 million or an equivalent amount in PKR for those who process or cause to be processed, disseminate or disclose personal data in violation of any of the provisions of the proposed legislation. A Commission called the National Commission for Personal Data Protection (NCPDP) of Pakistan will be formed within six months of the release of the official notification. This provides an environment of fair practices in the digital economy by offering legal protections in online transactions and sharing personal and sensitive information or data for personal, international e-commerce and e-government services. Further, the grounds for processing personal data, personal data breaches, and payment of fines for the committed offense were mentioned in the draft. (Tahir Amin, “Personal data protection bill finalised,” Business Recorder, 22 May 2023)
EXTERNAL
Bilawal Bhutto opposes G20 meet in Srinagar
On 21 May, Foreign Minister expressed strong opposition against the G20 meeting at Srinagar. He alleged that India cannot suppress the people’s voice in Kashmir. He assured that he would be a part of the protest rally in Bagh on 23 May, possessing strong support to people in Kashmir. He has also discussed this with the Pakistan Occupied Kashmir PM and urged him to address the POK assembly. (Tariq Naqash, “Kashmiris can’t be silenced with G20 event: Bilawal,” Dawn, 22 May 2023; “Bilawal arrives in AJK to protest India’s violation of international laws,” Business Recorder, 22 May 2023)
Protesters from PTI gather outside the White House
On 21 May, Hundreds of PTI supporters gathered outside the White House as former PM Imran Khan warned that elections may not be held in October. Johnny Bashir, a local PTI leader, expressed the party's increased popularity among the Pakistani-American community since Imran Khan’s arrest in an interview with Fareed Zakaria, Mr. Imran Khan stated that there’s no rule of law in Pakistan and that over 10,000 PTI workers had been arrested. At the White House, “Pakistan Zindahbad” and “Imran Khan Zindahbad” were the most dominant slogans. Imran Khan also complained that police had surrounded his home in Lahore, searching for every visitor. (Anwar Iqbal, “Hundreds of PTI supporters protest outside White House,” Dawn, 22 May 2023)
ECONOMY
Ishaq Dar seeks to facilitate export-oriented sectors
On 22 May, Business Recorder reported that the Finance Minister of Pakistan Ishaq Dar, directed commercial banks to facilitate export-oriented sectors to open LCs for raw material, machinery, spare parts, and other items without any reference to the State Bank of Pakistan. He met with the All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (APTMA) to discuss the country's economic and financial prospects and to reaffirm the government's commitment to steer the economy toward prosperity. ATMA proposed a dedicated power plant exclusively for the textile sector, with sufficient gas allocation and a wheeling open access charge. The Finance Minister committed to providing maximum support to the textile industry and directed authorities to address and resolve issues on a priority basis to boost export-led growth. (Mushtaq Ghumman, “Letters of credit: Banks asked to facilitate: Export-oriented sectors find favor with Dar,” Business Recorder,22 May 2023)
ECC authorizes PKR 1.146 billion for trade missions
On 22 May, Business Recorder reported that The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) of the Cabinet authorized PKR 1.146 billion in technical supplemental grants (TSG) for trade missions overseas due to a gap in the budgeted budget caused by currency depreciation. There are 55 trade missions abroad exploring new markets for exports and reaching out to the international market for commercial presence for exporters and potential industries. The Ministry of Commerce has been allocated a budget of PKR 2,331 million for the fiscal year 2022-23. However, due to the depreciation of the rupee, the average exchange rate has remained PKR 247 per dollar, depreciating the allocated budget amounting to USD 5.131 million. To continue operations of trade missions abroad, PKR 1.266 million will be required during the current financial year. The Ministry of Finance has agreed to grant PKR 1146.284 million as TSG owing to the prevailing financial crunch in the country. (Zaheer Abbasi, “ECC approves Rs1.146bn through TSG for trade missions,” Business Recorder, 22 May 2023)
SECURITY
Two soldiers and three terrorists were killed during KP operation
On 21 May, Two soldiers and three terrorists were killed during an intelligence-based operation in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa's Tank district, according to the army's media wing. ISPR reported that two terrorists, 39-year-old Naik Muhammad Atiq from Chakwal and 36-year-old Naik Rajab Ali from Attock, were actively involved in terrorist activities against security forces and innocent citizens. Pakistan has seen an uptick in terror activities since the TTP ended its ceasefire, with 293 people martyred and 521 injured in 436 terrorist incidents over the past year. 137 security personnel were martyred and 117 injured in anti-terror operations. (“2 soldiers martyred, 3 terrorists killed in Tank IBO: ISPR,” Dawn,22 May 2023)
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20 May 2023, Saturday I Vol 4, No.99
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19 May 2023, Friday I Vol 4, No.98
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18 May 2023, Thursday I Vol 4, No.97
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17 May 2023, Wednesday I Vol 4, No.96
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15 May 2023, Monday I Vol 4, No.95
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13 May 2023, Saturday I Vol 4, No.94
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12 May 2023, Friday I Vol 4, No.93
Leakage of audio calls post the Arrest of Imran Khan
On 12 May, Dawn reported about two leaked audio calls on social media and mainstream media. One of the taped calls on 9 May 2023 alleged that Mr Khan was inquiring about “the situation” to Musarrat Jamshed Cheema, a PTI leader. But Azhar confirmed it later and added that the “real issue” is the supremacy of the Constitution. The other leaked audio was between PTI’s legal team head, where they discussed the transmission of the case from SC to IHC for Friday and details of handlers of the case. (Malik Asad, “Two more audio leaks surface,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
ECONOMY
IMF plans to discard the fuel subsidy plan due to the challenging situation
On 11 May, according to the report of Bloomberg News, the government informed the IMF that it decided not to launch a fuel subsidy programme, as the two entities arranged a long-delayed USD 1.1 billion bailout. IMF assured of its involution with the government notwithstanding political tensions. Reuters reported Pakistan's request for supplemental finance to resume the ninth review. Meantime, Pakistan's State Bank reserves incline to USD 4.38 billion. IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack recognised and said: “Our team is very heavily engaged of course with the Pakistani authorities because Pakistan indeed faces a very challenging situation.” (“Govt tells IMF it will scrap fuel subsidy plan,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
Political turmoil in Pakistan causes slump in business and financial transactions
On 12 May, there was a significant decrease in commercial activity in Pakistan due to political turmoil and protests following the arrest of Imran Khan. The government's suspension of mobile data services since 9 May following the orders of the interior ministry, has also contributed to this decline. As a result, international payment card transactions have decreased by 45 per cent in volume and 46 per cent in value. Domestic payment transactions have also reduced by 52 per cent in volume and 56 per cent in value. Habib Bank Ltd (HBL), Pakistan's largest bank, has seen a decline of 60 per cent in the use of its POS machines. This situation has caused a slump in business and financial transactions in the country. (Digital payments halve in ‘longest’ internet shutdown,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
Pakistani Rupee falls to PKR 299 and Foreign Exchange Reserves decreased to USD 4.38 billion
On 11 May, the rupee in Pakistan lost value against the US dollar in the open market, dropping by PKR 2 to settle at PKR 299. The foreign exchange reserves of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) also decreased by USD 74 million to USD 4.38 billion in the first week of May. The decline in the value of the rupee is not solely due to the political situation in the country but also because of large payments from Pakistan that have allowed the dollar to gain strength. A large bank has been buying dollars since 10 May, which has boosted demand in the limited interbank market. The rupee has depreciated by 5.05 per cent during this month, 24.25 per cent in the current calendar year, and 31.47 per cent since the start of the current fiscal year. (Shahid Iqbal, “Rupee hits new low near 300 vs dollar,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
EXTERNAL
US Senate closely monitoring situation in Pakistan, calls for de-escalation
On 11 May, the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee was closely monitoring the situation in Pakistan, including the recent shutdown of internet services and the arrest of Imran Khan. The committee's chairman, Senator Bob Menendez, has called for de-escalation efforts and the restoration of internet services, stating that these shutdowns dangerously suppress the freedoms of the people in Pakistan. The UN rights chief has also urged Pakistani security forces to show restraint and for protesters to refrain from violence. US senators are urging the State Department to ask the Pakistani government to fix a date for elections to end the current political crisis in the country. (Anwar Iqbal, “US Senate panel wants tensions de-escalated,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
Pakistan rules out talks with TTP and responds to international remarks
On 12 May, Pakistan's Foreign Office spokesperson Mumtaz Zahra Baloch addressed the recent statements made by the UN, foreign countries and missions regarding the arrest of PTI chief Imran Khan and subsequent violence. She reiterated Pakistan's ability to deal with domestic challenges according to its laws and constitution and ruled out any dialogue with TTP, which she said did not respect Pakistan's laws and constitution. (Iftikhar A. Khan, “Pakistan capable of dealing with internal matters: FO,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
China sends warships to protect the economic corridor in Pakistan
On 12 May The Express Tribune reported that China has reportedly sent two warships to Pakistan to safeguard the seas of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), an ambitious infrastructure project that links China to Pakistan aimed at offering an alternative transportation route for goods. The frigates will be used to protect Gwadar Port, located on a key waterway in the Arabian Sea, which is part of the CPEC network. The move highlights the deepening economic and military ties between China and Pakistan, looking to strengthen their alliance amid geopolitical uncertainty in the region. (“China completes warship deliveries to Pakistan,” The Express Tribune, 12 May 2023)
JUDICIARY
Minister and officials discuss the role of the judiciary and constitution in Pakistan
On 11 May, during a session on the constitution and courts, Minister of Poverty Alleviation Social Safety Shazia Marri stated that chaos is harmful to the country's development and that the role of each institution, including the judiciary, is defined by the constitution. She mentioned the need for public scrutiny of judges to ensure transparency. Dr Kizito Mhagama, a member of parliament from the United Republic of Tanzania, spoke about the courts' responsibility to interpret the law in his country, and former Senator Safdar Abbasi discussed attempts to abrogate the constitution in Pakistan. Zafarullah Khan highlighted the importance of appointing judges and mentioned how Senate members scrutinise judges in the United States. (“Speakers call for scrutiny in judicial system,” The Express Tribune, 12 May 2023)
SOCIETY
Global internal displacement reaches unprecedented high in 2022
On 11 May, Dawn reported that, in 2022, a record-breaking 71.1 million internally displaced people (IDPs) were registered, a rise of 20 per cent from the previous year. It is estimated that 60.9 million new internal displacements were reported, with some people forced to flee multiple times during the year. The increase was largely due to the war in Ukraine, monsoon floods in Pakistan, and ongoing conflicts and natural disasters around the world. Nearly three-quarters of the world’s IDPs live in just 10 countries, many of which are experiencing unresolved conflicts and continued displacement. Natural disasters accounted for most new internal displacement, spurring 32.6 million movements in 2022 accounted for most new internal displacement, spurring 32.6 million movements in 2022. (“Over 71m internally displaced in 2022,” Dawn, 12 May 2023)
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11 May 2023, Thursday I Vol 4, No.92
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“There is little that is democratic about the manner in which the govt has chosen to act against PTI.”
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10 May 2023, Wednesday I Vol 4, No.91
POLITICS
Omar Cheema arrested during a raid by ACE at dawn
On 10 May, Dawn reported that Omar Sarfaraz Cheema, the Former Punjab Governor and leader of Pakistan Tehreek e-Insaf (PTI), was arrested in Lahore by Anti-Corruption Establishment (ACE), Punjab. The incident happened immediately after detaining Imran Khan, the former Prime Minister and Chairperson of PTI. A video released by Hammad Azhar, Secretary General of Central Punjab (PTI leader) on his official Twitter account, confirmed the arrest of Omar and tweeted: “Former governor Omar Sarfaraz Cheema being taken... by Who? Where? On what charges?” (M Shahzad, “Former Punjab governor Omar Cheema arrested,” The Express Tribune, 10 May 2023)
Petitions on Imran Khan’s expulsion as Party Leader at Lahore HC
On 9 May, Muhammed Afaq, Advocate of Lahore High Court (HC), challenged Imran Khan’s position as PTI Party leader, claiming a similar case of former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif on a corruption charge. The case, led by Justice Abid Hussain Chattah of Lahore HC, was adjourned by reserving the verdict to be heard on May 19, 2023. The Petition also claimed the issue of directives for the nomination of a new party leader. (“Court to hear pleas for Imran’s removal as party head,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Multiple allegations against Imran Khan by the PM of Pakistan
On 10 May, Dawn reported the accusations on Imran Khan by Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif. Sharif continuously tweets about the allegations made by Imran Khan and several charges of manipulating the judiciary and ignoring facts of attacks for his own political will. He said: “I have no doubt that your politics is defined by blatant lies, untruths, U-turns, and vicious attacks on institutions.” Despite the rising chaos because of the arrest of Imran Khan, Rana Sanaullah, Interior Minister and Azam Nazeer Tarar, Law Minister, proclaimed the evidence of Mr Khan’s corruption practices and further stated that Government has no control over National Accountability Bureau (NAB). (Syed Irfan Raza, Iftikhar A. Khan, “PM accuses PTI chief of vilifying army, pressuring judiciary,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Deliberations on Introduction of Parliament Contempt Bill, 2023
On 9 May, the Contempt of Majlis-e-Shoora (Parliament) Bill, 2023, a pivotal private member’s bill, was introduced in the Parliament by Rana Qasim Noon, PTI dissident and Chairman of the National Assembly (NA) Standing Committee. Under the Parliament Contempt Bill, the House can punish any person, persons, or entity or call forth any government or state official that commits disrespect to parliament, with six-month imprisonment and a fine of PKR 10 million. Further, the Parliament has listed clauses containing the grounds for contempt and Constitution for Contempt Committee. Raja Pervaiz Ashraf, the Speaker of NA, referred the bill to the standing committee for further consideration, but Opposition Leader Raja Riaz opposed the action. Additionally, various other Lawmakers expressed their views on reconsidering the bill by Standing Committee. (Naveed Butt, Zulfiqar Ahmad, “Parliament contempt bill introduced in NA,” Business Recorder, 10 May 2023, Amir Wasim, “ ‘Contempt of parliament’ bill lands on NA,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
ECONOMY
Pakistan's state-run enterprises face an economic crisis and high debt
On 9 May, the State Bank of Pakistan reported abnormally high credit growth to state-run enterprises compared to previous years, reflecting their critical economic conditions. Pakistan International Airlines and power sector companies were among the entities borrowing heavily due to losses. The increasing circular debt is creating severe problems like the current account deficit, where at the beginning of the fiscal year it was PKR 2.253 trillion and raised by PKR 419 billion. In addition, many Chinese power companies have been asking the government to pay their dues. Loss-making public companies have over 45,000 employees, and despite past and present governments not resolving the issue, they continue to receive taxpayers’ money to avoid political backlash. (Shahid Iqbal, “Bank lending to state-run firms jumps to Rs282bn,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Pakistan's external debt payment is expected until June, uncertain beyond without the IMF program
On 9 May, Grace Lim, a sovereign analyst stated that Pakistan is expected to be able to pay its external debts for the rest of the fiscal year until June. He added: “However, Pakistan’s financing options beyond June are highly uncertain. Without an IMF programme, Pakistan could default given its very weak reserves,” The country entered into a $6.5 billion program with the IMF in 2019. The program's ninth review for the release of $1.2 billion has been pending since October last year as the government has been unable to meet some of the prerequisites set by the lender. In the absence of an agreement with the IMF, Pakistan may rely more heavily on China, and international oil transactions are increasingly shifting from US dollars to other currencies, particularly the Chinese yuan. Despite difficulties, Pakistan is striving to achieve financial stability. (“Pakistan could default without IMF bailout, warns Moody’s,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Pakistan's failure to reach IMF agreement could increase reliance on China, warns federal minister
On 8 May, while speaking on Dawn News show “Live with Adil Shahzeb,” Pakistan's federal minister for power, Khurram Dastgir Khan warned that Pakistan's failure to reach a staff-level agreement with the IMF could lead to the country's increased reliance on China. He suggested that without an IMF programme, Pakistan could default due to its very weak reserves. The country's foreign exchange reserves are at precariously low levels of USD 4.46 billion. Inflation surged to a record 36.4 per cent in April due to the rupee's depreciation and rising administered prices. However, the minister said that Pakistan would fulfil all its financial commitments with the help of China or other friendly nations. (Adil Shahzeb, "Minister sees Pakistan’s dependence on China rising if IMF deal fails to materialise,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Pakistan stock market drops after Imran Khan's arrest
On 9 May, the stock market in Pakistan had some buying interest at first, but then the news of former prime minister Imran Khan's arrest caused investors to lose confidence and caused the market to drop sharply. The KSE-100 index went down by 1.09 per cent from the previous session. The overall trading volume increased by 13.4 per cent to USD 203.1 million shares, and the traded value went up 22.4 per cent to USD 20.5 million. Sectors that contributed the most to the index performance were commercial banking, exploration and production, fertilizer, investment banking, and technology and communication. Some companies saw their share prices increase, while others saw a decline. Foreign investors purchased shares worth USD 60,000. (“Equities melt amid rising political tensions, Dawn, 10 May 2023)
EXTERNAL
China exports rise at a slower pace in April
On 9 May, according to official statistics issued, China's export growth slowed down in April compared to the previous month as the world's second-largest economy struggles to fully recover from strict Covid controls. Global inflation and geopolitical tensions with the United States has weakened demand for Chinese products, leading to a decline in export growth. China's zero-Covid policy caused five straight declines in exports, while domestic consumption remains subdued. Chief economist Zhang Zhiwei at Pinpoint Asset Management said: “The contraction of imports may be partly driven by the slowdown of global demand, which in turn affects China’s imports of parts and components.”( “China exports rise at a slower pace in April,” Dawn, 10 May 2023)
Trade with Afghanistan to advance peace
On 8 May, the Ameer of the Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam Pakistan, Maulana Hamidul Haq Haqqani stated that the improvement in Pakistan-Afghan relations would help to bring about peace in both nations and beneficial developments in the economic standing of both peoples. He also stated that friendship between Pakistan and Afghanistan would guarantee a secure path from Pakistan and Afghanistan to Central Asia, Russia, and Europe. Afghan Foreign Minister, Amir Muttaqi stated that his visit's objectives were to end miscommunication and advance political and interregional cooperation. (“Trade with Afghanistan to promote peace,” The Express Tribune, 9 May 2023)
Following Imran's arrest, the US and the UK support the "rule of law"
On 9 May, the top diplomats of the United States and the United Kingdom urged Pakistan to uphold the "rule of law" after the former prime minister Imran Khan's arrest sparked widespread unrest.US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and British Foreign Secretary James Cleverly expressed their desire for Pakistan to experience peaceful democracy. Antony Blinken in a joint news conference said “We just want to make sure that whatever happens in Pakistan is consistent with the rule of law, with the constitution,”(“US, UK back ‘rule of law’ after Imran’s arrest,” The Express Tribune, 10 May 2023)
ELECTION
Election funding agenda tabled in cabinet, cabinet to seek legal steps
On 10 May, the Business Recorder reported that the Supreme Court of Pakistan ordered the Federal Government to provide PKR 21 billion to the Election Commission of Pakistan for the General Elections in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assemblies. The Finance Division placed this direction before the Cabinet, which directed them to present a bill before Parliament. However, the Bill was not approved by the National Assembly. The Supreme Court summoned officials of the State Bank of Pakistan, Finance Division, and Election Commission of Pakistan and ordered the State Bank of Pakistan release the funds by April 17, 2023. The matter was then sent to the National Assembly, which rejected the motion for granting the supplementary sum. The Supreme Court ordered the government to provide the funds by April 27, 2023. (Mushtaq Ghumman, “Rs21bn funding for ECP: Cabinet resolves to take appropriate legal steps,” Business Recorder, 10 May 2023)
Four of the eight seats in the HMC are won by PPP
On 7 May, Candidates from the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) won four of the eight seats in the Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (HMC) in the municipal elections. District Election Commissioner stated that the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) won two seats while the Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) and independent candidates each got one. Provisional results showed that PPP's candidates won the seats of chairmen and vice-chairmen in UC-5 and UC-137 in TMC Nerunkot and UC-118 in TMC Shah Latifabad. Independent candidates won the seats of chairman and vice-chairman in TMC Nerunkot's UC-17, defeating PPP's candidates Muhammad Usman Malik and Dildar Magsi. PPP, PTI, and JI elected general members in UC-58, UC-89, and UC-30 respectively.(Z Ali , “PPP wins four out of eight seats in HMC,” The Express Tribune, 10 May 2023)
SOCIETY
Punjab, KPK: Flour millers will stage an eight-day ‘token’ strike from today
On 10 May, Business Recorder reported that flour millers from Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) will observe a token strike from 10 May to 17 May, to demand that the government grant them the freedom to conduct their business and milling operations. Pakistan Flour Mills Association (PFMA) Central President stated that millers from Punjab and KPK decided to go on strike after debating the state of the wheat market and the poor policies implemented by the Punjab Food Department. Millers claim flour and wheat prices are increasing due to wrong policies of the provincial food department, with prices in Rawalpindi reaching PKR 6,000 per maund and Lahore at PKR 4,800 per maund. (“Punjab, KPK: Flour millers to observe eight-day ‘token strike from today,” Business Recorder, 10 May 2023)
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09 May 2023, Tuesday I Vol 4, No.90
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08 May 2023, Monday I Vol 4, No.89
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06 May 2023, Saturday I Vol 4, No.88
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05 May 2023, Friday I Vol 4, No.87
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03 May 2023, Wednesday I Vol 4, No.85
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2 May 2023, Tuesday I Vol 4, No.84
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1 May 2023, Monday I Vol 4, No.85
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